Bayes rules

The 1/5/2006 edition of The Economist had an article on Bayesian reasoning, Bayes rules:

"Indeed, one of the most impressive things Dr Griffiths and Dr Tenenbaum have shown is the range of distributions the mind can cope with. Besides Erlang, they tested people with examples of normal distributions, power-law distributions and, in the case of baking cakes, a complex and irregular distribution. They found that people could cope equally well with all of them, cakes included. Indeed, they are so confident of their method that they think it could be reversed in those cases where the shape of a distribution in the real world is still a matter of debate."

I found the link via a post at Haiku Factory which also links to commentary at another blog I enjoy, Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference and Social Science.